GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New England II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

New England II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Philadelphia Union II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New England II hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while New England II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New England II

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

14.1%

New England II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

New England IIWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Philadelphia Union IILWLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
New England IIPhiladelphia Union II
54.0Attack36.4
61.9Defence56.1
61.9Form42.4
60.7Power46.2
1.63xG0.74
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