GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/24/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nevėžis · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Nevėžis are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while FA Šiauliai II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nevėžis hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (57.1 v 27.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.9% in the 1 Lyga, while Nevėžis holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nevėžis

Probability

78.9%

Model confidence

78.9%

Nevėžis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NevėžisWWLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
FA Šiauliai IIWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
NevėžisFA Šiauliai II
50.6Attack30.0
63.2Defence25.0
55.2Form18.3
57.1Power27.7
2.68xG0.56
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