GGOALVIO

Austria · Cup · 7/20/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SV Lafnitz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Neusiedl are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while SV Lafnitz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SV Lafnitz hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Cup, while SV Lafnitz holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SV Lafnitz

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

SV Lafnitz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NeusiedlWDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
SV LafnitzLDWDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NeusiedlSV Lafnitz
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power88.7
1.74xG2.52
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