Neuchatel Xamax FCvs
Yverdon Sport
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon Sport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-2 Yverdon Sport
Original prediction
Yverdon Sport
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.9% | 36.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.2% | 26.2% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.8% | 37.5% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Yverdon Sport
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Yverdon Sport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60