Neuchatel Xamax FCvs
Rapperswil
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 9/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neuchatel Xamax FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neuchatel Xamax FC 0-3 Rapperswil
Original prediction
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.7% | 50.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.2% | 21.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.36 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Neuchatel Xamax FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60