Neuchatel Xamax FCvs
FC Thun
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Challenge League · 8/11/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Thun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Neuchatel Xamax FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC Thun are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Neuchatel Xamax FC hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Challenge League, while FC Thun holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Thun
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
FC Thun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40