Netherlands U21vs
Norway U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Netherlands U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Netherlands U21 0-0 Norway U21
Original prediction
Netherlands U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.3% | 55.3% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.3% | 21.2% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.74 | 24.4% | 23.5% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Netherlands U21
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Netherlands U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20