Netherlands U21vs
Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Netherlands U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Netherlands U21 4-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina U21
Original prediction
Netherlands U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 84.0% | 55.5% | -28.5 pts |
| Draw | 8.32 | 11.1% | 23.2% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 18.64 | 4.9% | 21.3% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Netherlands U21
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Netherlands U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40