Netherlands U19vs
Belgium U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Netherlands U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Netherlands U19 1-1 Belgium U19
Original prediction
Netherlands U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.3% | 37.4% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.5% | 25.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.2% | 37.2% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Netherlands U19
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Netherlands U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00