Netherlands U19vs
Austria U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Netherlands U19 0-1 Austria U19
Original prediction
Austria U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.6% | 33.3% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 27.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.86 | 31.6% | 39.4% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Austria U19
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Austria U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60