Nestos Chrisoupolisvs
Marko
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marko · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0-0 Marko, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nestos Chrisoupolis 1-2 Marko
Original prediction
Marko
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.42 | 14.3% | 23.6% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.7% | 30.1% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 62.0% | 46.4% | -15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Projected Score
Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–0 Marko
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Marko
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Marko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nestos ChrisoupolisLLWLD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MarkoWWLWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nestos ChrisoupolisMarko
33.3Attack37.5
50.0Defence76.4
16.7Form55.6
36.5Power58.0
0.60xG0.99