Nestos Chrisoupolisvs
Kallithea
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kallithea · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0-1 Kallithea, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nestos Chrisoupolis 0-0 Kallithea
Original prediction
Kallithea
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.87 | 23.7% | 20.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.2% | 27.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 47.2% | 51.4% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Nestos Chrisoupolis 0–1 Kallithea
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Kallithea
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Kallithea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60