Nesebarvs
Yantra 2019
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nesebar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nesebar 1-1 Yantra 2019
Original prediction
Nesebar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 26.8% | 41.2% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.8% | 26.3% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.4% | 32.5% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Nesebar
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Nesebar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NesebarWWWLL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yantra 2019WWWLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NesebarYantra 2019
80.0Attack40.0
46.7Defence60.0
60.0Form60.0
58.1Power56.5
1.64xG1.14