Second LeagueSecond League
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:39
Nesebar

Nesebar

Home
W
15
Full time
Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Away
W
Gradski stadion
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Nesebar(61%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Nesebar
61%
Draw
22%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
16%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nesebar
100
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
34
Defence
Nesebar
91
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
91
Momentum
Nesebar
100
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
100
Danger (xG)
Nesebar
4.50
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Nesebar)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Etar Veliko Tarnovo)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nesebar)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Etar Veliko Tarnovo)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NesebarNesebar
W
Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo
W

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Nesebar61%
Draw22%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo16%

Nesebar leads with 61% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nesebar head into this in Second League fixture at Gradski stadion in mixed form (W), while Etar Veliko Tarnovo arrive in mixed form (W). Nesebar have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Etar Veliko Tarnovo over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Nesebar (91/100) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Nesebar have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Etar Veliko Tarnovo have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Nesebar and Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Nesebar to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Nesebar 6136%, Draw 2225%, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1639%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Nesebar

Nesebar

W
@ Maritsa Plovdiv
13 May 2026
50
Etar Veliko Tarnovo

Etar Veliko Tarnovo

W
vs Ludogorets II
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nesebar vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

GoalVio's model predicts Nesebar to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nesebar vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Nesebar vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nesebar vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more