GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/24/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Neptūną Klaipėda are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Minija are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minija

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neptūną KlaipėdaLWLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.50

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
MinijaLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Neptūną KlaipėdaMinija
47.4Attack88.3
64.9Defence81.7
66.7Form86.7
61.7Power83.5
0.80xG1.70
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