Neptūną Klaipėdavs
Minija
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/24/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Neptūną Klaipėda are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Minija are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.50
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00