Neptūną Klaipėdavs
Jonava
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neptūną Klaipėda 2-0 Jonava
Original prediction
Neptūną Klaipėda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.4% | 46.9% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.6% | 27.4% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.0% | 25.7% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–015%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Neptūną Klaipėda
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20