Neptūną Klaipėdavs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neptūną Klaipėda 0-1 Hegelmann II
Original prediction
Neptūną Klaipėda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 71.2% | 70.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.05 | 17.6% | 17.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 7.96 | 11.2% | 11.7% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Neptūną Klaipėda
Probability
70.9%
Model confidence
70.9%
Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20