GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Neptūną Klaipėda 0-2 Ekranas

Original prediction

Neptūną Klaipėda

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.2571.8%72.6%0.8 pts
Draw5.1517.4%17.1%-0.3 pts
Away8.3510.8%10.3%-0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–014%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.3–010%

Predicted outcome

Neptūną Klaipėda

Probability

72.6%

Model confidence

72.6%

Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neptūną KlaipėdaLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
EkranasLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaEkranas
40.7Attack33.3
59.3Defence23.5
54.3Form18.5
53.3Power27.8
2.19xG0.69
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