GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Džiugas Telšiai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Neptūną Klaipėda are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Džiugas Telšiai are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Džiugas Telšiai hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 71.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.4% in the Cup, while Džiugas Telšiai holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Džiugas Telšiai

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

7.4%

Džiugas Telšiai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neptūną KlaipėdaLWLWL

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Džiugas TelšiaiLWWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaDžiugas Telšiai
100.0Attack91.7
55.6Defence83.3
44.4Form58.3
58.9Power71.5
2.25xG2.39
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