GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Neptūną Klaipėda are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while BFA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Neptūną Klaipėda hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Neptūną Klaipėda holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Neptūną Klaipėda

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

13.1%

Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Neptūną KlaipėdaWLWLD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
BFAWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaBFA
47.4Attack50.9
64.9Defence49.1
66.7Form54.4
61.7Power52.3
1.61xG0.96
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