Neptūną Klaipėdavs
Atmosfera
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neptūną Klaipėda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neptūną Klaipėda 3-1 Atmosfera
Original prediction
Neptūną Klaipėda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.4% | 39.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 26.4% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.6% | 34.1% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Neptūną Klaipėda
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Neptūną Klaipėda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60