GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/3/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NEOM · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

NEOM 3-0 Al Khaleej Saihat

Original prediction

NEOM

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6854.9%48.3%-6.7 pts
Draw3.7824.5%26.7%2.2 pts
Away4.5120.5%25.0%4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

NEOM

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

NEOM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NEOMLLWWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al Khaleej SaihatLDDDD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NEOMAl Khaleej Saihat
33.3Attack16.7
66.7Defence50.0
50.0Form25.0
51.8Power33.2
1.47xG0.92
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