NEOMvs
Al-Ettifaq
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/17/2026, 3:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NEOM · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NEOM 0-1 Al-Ettifaq
Original prediction
NEOM
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.7% | 57.6% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 22.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.6% | 20.0% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
NEOM
Probability
57.6%
Model confidence
57.6%
NEOM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NEOMWDWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-EttifaqWDDDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NEOMAl-Ettifaq
58.3Attack50.0
70.8Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
65.7Power52.2
1.90xG0.88