Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NEOM · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: NEOM 2-0 Abha, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
NEOM 2-0 Abha
Original prediction
NEOM
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 60.5% | 59.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.5% | 23.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 5.39 | 17.0% | 17.6% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
NEOM 2–0 Abha
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
NEOM
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
NEOM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NEOMLLWDW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AbhaLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NEOMAbha
46.7Attack25.0
70.0Defence37.5
53.3Form8.3
57.2Power26.6
1.99xG0.48