Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Nemunas are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Babrungas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 80.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Cup, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.25/2.50
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80