Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Neman are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Niva are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Neman hold a 55.5-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Neman holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neman
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Neman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40