Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neman · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Neman are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Naftan are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Neman hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 30.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Premier League, while Neman holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neman
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
17.2%
Neman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60