Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MKK-Dnepr · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Neman are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MKK-Dnepr are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MKK-Dnepr hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (49.9 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.5% in the Premier League, while MKK-Dnepr holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MKK-Dnepr
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
17.5%
MKK-Dnepr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60