Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Neman are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Minsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Neman hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Neman holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neman
Probability
63.3%
Model confidence
63.3%
Neman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00