NeftchivsSpartak Kostroma

Neftchi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spartak Kostroma are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 19.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.