Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi 3-0 Sogdiana
Original prediction
Neftchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–010%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Neftchi
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
81.9%
Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NeftchiLWWDD
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SogdianaWWWWL
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NeftchiSogdiana
77.8Attack59.3
81.5Defence33.3
77.8Form44.4
76.9Power46.9
3.48xG0.74