Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi 1-0 Pakhtakor
Original prediction
Neftchi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Record timestamp is not before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Neftchi
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NeftchiWLWWD
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
PakhtakorDDWWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NeftchiPakhtakor
44.4Attack66.7
77.8Defence58.3
44.4Form50.0
54.9Power55.9
1.64xG1.55