NeftchivsKara-Balta

Neftchi are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kara-Balta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 22.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Premier League, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.