Premier LeaguePremier League
Tuesday, 23 June 2026Last updated 12:39
Neftchi

Neftchi

Home
L
13
Full time
Dordoi Bishkek

Dordoi Bishkek

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Neftchi(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Dordoi Bishkek
Win probability
Neftchi
43%
Draw
26%
Dordoi Bishkek
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Neftchi
34
Dordoi Bishkek
73
Defence
Neftchi
6
Dordoi Bishkek
66
Momentum
Neftchi
0
Dordoi Bishkek
100
Danger (xG)
Neftchi
0.90
Dordoi Bishkek
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Neftchi)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Dordoi Bishkek)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Neftchi)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Dordoi Bishkek)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NeftchiNeftchi
LL
Dordoi BishkekDordoi Bishkek
WWL

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Neftchi43%
Draw26%
Dordoi Bishkek31%

Neftchi leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Neftchi head into this in Premier League fixture in mixed form (L), while Dordoi Bishkek arrive in mixed form (W). Neftchi have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Dordoi Bishkek over 1 games.

Tactically, Dordoi Bishkek hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Neftchi defence (6/100), while Neftchi's attack faces a solid Dordoi Bishkek backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Neftchi have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Dordoi Bishkek have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Dordoi Bishkek have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Neftchi to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Neftchi 4320%, Draw 2580%, Dordoi Bishkek 3100%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Neftchi 0Draws 01 Dordoi Bishkek
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
23 Jun 2026
Neftchi
L13
Dordoi Bishkek

Recent form

Neftchi

Neftchi

L
vs Dordoi Bishkek
23 Jun 2026
13
L
@ Muras United
16 May 2026
26
Dordoi Bishkek

Dordoi Bishkek

W
@ Kara-Balta
2 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Neftchi
23 Jun 2026
31
L
vs Ozgon
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Neftchi vs Dordoi Bishkek?

GoalVio's model predicts Neftchi to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Dordoi Bishkek?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Neftchi vs Dordoi Bishkek?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Neftchi vs Dordoi Bishkek?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more