GGOALVIO

Kyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/6/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dordoi Bishkek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Neftchi are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Dordoi Bishkek are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Dordoi Bishkek hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Premier League, while Dordoi Bishkek holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dordoi Bishkek

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Dordoi Bishkek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NeftchiW

GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Dordoi BishkekDDLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.75/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
NeftchiDordoi Bishkek
43.9Attack50.0
43.9Defence53.3
40.4Form41.7
44.0Power48.3
1.31xG1.56
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