Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Neftchi are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Andijan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (81.7 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Super League, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neftchi
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
16.2%
Neftchi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00