Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alga · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi 3-1 Alga
Original prediction
Alga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Alga
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Alga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NeftchiLWLWW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AlgaWLLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NeftchiAlga
41.7Attack63.3
40.0Defence68.3
38.3Form70.0
41.5Power68.6
0.79xG2.26