Neftchivs
Al-Ittihad FC
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/26/2026, 1:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ittihad FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi 1-2 Al-Ittihad FC
Original prediction
Al-Ittihad FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.97 | 23.3% | 32.3% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.4% | 26.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 52.4% | 41.4% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ittihad FC
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Al-Ittihad FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40