NeftchivsAbdish-Ata

Neftchi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Abdish-Ata are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.5% in the Premier League, while Neftchi holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.