Neftchi Bakuvs
Turan
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi Baku · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Neftchi Baku 1-0 Turan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi Baku 1-1 Turan
Original prediction
Neftchi Baku
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.2% | 56.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.2% | 25.5% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.82 | 18.7% | 18.2% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Neftchi Baku 1–0 Turan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Neftchi Baku
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
Neftchi Baku has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Neftchi BakuDDWWW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TuranLWLWD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Neftchi BakuTuran
87.5Attack28.6
66.7Defence76.2
70.8Form52.4
73.1Power55.5
1.51xG0.63