Neftchi Bakuvs
Səbail
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 8/14/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi Baku · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Neftchi Baku are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Səbail are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi Baku hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Premyer Liqa, while Neftchi Baku holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neftchi Baku
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Neftchi Baku has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00