Neftchi Bakuvs
Sabah FA
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 10/9/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi Baku 0-0 Sabah FA
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.9% | 32.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.0% | 28.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.1% | 39.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00