Neftchi Bakuvs
Qabala
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 8/27/2023, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi Baku · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Neftchi Baku are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qabala are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi Baku hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (54.5 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the Premyer Liqa, while Neftchi Baku holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Neftchi Baku
Probability
67.1%
Model confidence
67.1%
Neftchi Baku has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20