Neftchi Bakuvs
Araz
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Premyer Liqa · 8/23/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Neftchi Baku · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Neftchi Baku 1-0 Araz, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Neftchi Baku 5-0 Araz
Original prediction
Neftchi Baku
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Projected Score
Neftchi Baku 1–0 Araz
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Neftchi Baku
Probability
62.1%
Model confidence
62.1%
Neftchi Baku has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Neftchi BakuWWLLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArazDWWLL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Neftchi BakuAraz
47.2Attack28.7
63.0Defence53.7
51.9Form33.3
54.5Power41.0
1.46xG0.56