GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Halesowen Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Needham Market are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Halesowen Town are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Halesowen Town hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Halesowen Town holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Halesowen Town

Probability

35.4%

Model confidence

35.4%

Halesowen Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Needham MarketL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/6.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Halesowen TownWDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.75/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Needham MarketHalesowen Town
44.4Attack16.7
33.3Defence83.3
33.3Form50.0
39.0Power53.0
1.28xG1.35
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