Needham Marketvs
Bishop's Stortford
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Needham Market · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Needham Market 2-1 Bishop's Stortford
Original prediction
Needham Market
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 61.4% | 58.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.6% | 20.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.28 | 16.9% | 20.9% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Needham Market
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Needham Market has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40