Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60