GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/15/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santos Laguna W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos Laguna W hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Necaxa W

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Necaxa WLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santos Laguna WLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Necaxa WSantos Laguna W
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
26.7Power42.7
1.68xG1.57
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