Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Puebla W are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80