Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Necaxa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Necaxa W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Puebla W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Necaxa W hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Necaxa W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Necaxa W
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Necaxa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20